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5 for Friday: History could be on side of Steelers

Familiarity with divisional opponents is what makes for many of the great matchups that go into those games.

Entire offseasons are spent devising plans and building rosters in an effort to defeat the teams within your division.

That's with the idea that the two teams will play twice during the regular season. But meeting a third time? Well, that changes the dynamic.

The Steelers have played a divisional opponent in the postseason 12 times in their history, coming away with the victory in those games on 10 of those occasions. Saturday's playoff meeting with the Ravens in an AFC Wild Card game will mark the 13th divisional rematch in the postseason for the Steelers, and fifth against Baltimore.

The Steelers have won three of the previous four playoff meetings with the Ravens, but Saturday's game will be a little different than any other occasion in which they have played a divisional opponent for the third time.

Having faced the Ravens in Week 11, winning 18-16, and again in Week 16, losing 34-17, Saturday's game will mark the third meeting between the Steelers and Baltimore in a nine-week span. That is the quickest turnaround for the Steelers against a divisional opponent in team history for the third matchup.

That adds a little twist to things.

Certainly, both teams are very familiar with each other. But in this case, they have prepared to play against each other twice in a two-month period.

"I just think the more familiar you are, the more significant the strategic component is," said Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin. "But as a coach man, I welcome that. I want the responsibility of being a component of how this game unfolds and to try to stay a step ahead of them.

"I'm sure they have the same agenda regarding us. It doesn't get routine with each match up. It gets more sophisticated, it gets more complex, and from a coach's perspective, more fun."

That's a different perspective on meeting three times in so little time than Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh admitted to feeling about the game.

"I don't think there's any specific difficulty in it - this process is still the same," Harbaugh said. "You probably have certain things that are understood. There's a lot of things that have kind of been ingrained in your knowledge of a team in the division who you've already played twice, so your jumping-off point is further down the road for sure. That's about the only difference."

The Steelers have just been much more successful doing it.

While the Steelers are 10-2 the third time around against opponents, the Ravens are just 2-4 in such meetings, including 1-3 under Harbaugh, with the only win coming against the Steelers in 2014, a game in which Pittsburgh had lost star running back Le'Veon Bell the previous week in a win over the Bengals in the regular season finale.

This time around, it's the Ravens, who lost star wideout Zay Flowers to injury last week, who will be without a key offensive piece.

The Steelers have had success regardless of the head coach in such meetings. Tomlin is 3-2 in such games. Bill Cowher was 4-0. Chuck Noll was 3-0, with all three wins coming over the Oilers.

The Steelers are 2-0 against the Bengals in playoff games, 3-0 against the Oilers when they were a divisional opponent, 2-1 against the Browns and 3-1 against the Ravens.

This game will also mark the fourth time Tomlin and Harbaugh have faced off in a playoff game, the second-most in NFL history behind Chuck Noll and John Madden, who had five such meetings. Noll won three of the five.

This game will, however, mark the shortest amount of time the Steelers have had between the three meetings, beating the 1978 playoff game the Steelers played against the Houston Oilers.

In 1989, the Steelers and Oilers met in Weeks 7 and 13 before playing again on Wild Card Weekend, giving them 10 weeks between those three meetings.

The 1989 Steelers lost the two regular season meetings to Houston, 27-0 and 23-16, but shocked the Oilers, 23-20 in overtime at the Astrodome.

• The Steelers are the third team in NFL history to enter the playoffs on a losing streak of at least four games, meaning it's certainly a rarity.

Thing is, to have at least a four-game losing streak and still make the postseason means you did a lot of good things early in the season.

Recapturing that magic will go a long way toward whether or not you hang around longer or not.

In the case of the two previous teams to go to the postseason in such circumstances, the 1999 Lions did not. But the 1986 New York Jets, who actually lost their final five games, did advance in the postseason.

The Lions, who started the season 8-4, backed into the playoffs at 8-8 and lost a Wild Card game to Washington.

The Jets, meanwhile, are a more interesting case.

They opened the season 10-1, losing only to New England in Week 2 and rattling off nine consecutive victories after that.

Then, the Jets were smashed, 45-3, in Week 12 against the Dolphins, with several starters getting injured in the game.

"We had a good team and we were flying high," Jets quarterback Pat Ryan told the New York Daily News. "They were touting us as the best team in the AFC.

"Then we got blown out by Miami, got a few guys hurt and it just started spiraling and it went down fast. We were in a bad place."

A 17-3 loss to the Rams followed, with a 24-10 defeat at the hands of the 49ers coming after that.

The Steelers handed the Jets their fourth-consecutive loss in Week 16, 45-24, with the Bengals finishing off the five-game losing streak with a 52-21 smackdown.

The Jets turned the ball over a ridiculous 18 times during the losing streak and forced just six. During their 10-1 start, they had forced 32 turnovers and had lost 19, making them plus-13.

The Steelers prepare for the Wild Card matchup against the Baltimore Ravens

Sound familiar?

But in the opening round of the playoffs, the Jets, who were the top Wild Card team, rebounded to beat the Chiefs, 35-15, forcing three turnovers and not turning the ball over themselves.

They were beaten, 23-20, the following week by the Browns in double overtime despite forcing two turnovers and not having any of their own.

The bottom line is the turnovers.

The Steelers were plus-15 in turnover margin in their 10 victories this season. They were plus-1 in turnover margin in their seven losses. But that doesn't tell the true story. The Steelers turned the ball over 11 times in their losses this season. They had seven turnovers in their 10 wins.

Taking care of the football and getting it out is a must.

• Pat Freiermuth's eight receptions in the Steelers' regular season finale vaulted him past George Pickens into the team lead for catches this season with a career high 65 for 653 yards.

It marks the first time a tight end has led the Steelers in receptions since Heath Miller did so in the 2012 season with 71.

"I haven't really thought about it, that's more of an offseason thought," said Freiermuth. "Hopefully, we have four more weeks to deal with before that happens. But, it's cool."

Freiermuth also led the Steelers with seven touchdown catches, matching his career high set in his rookie season.

With 220 receptions for 2,190 yards and 18 touchdowns in his first four seasons. His receptions and yardage are the most for a tight end in his first four seasons in team history, surpassing Miller's 168 receptions and the 2,063 yards posted by Eric Green.

Tight end production is something that is seemingly extremely beneficial. Of the 14 teams in the postseason this year, nine had a tight end catch at least 50 passes, led by Kansas City's Travis Kelce, who had 97 receptions.

And that doesn't take into account Buffalo's Dalton Kincaid, who had 44 receptions in 13 games, or Philadelphia's Dallas Goeddert, who had 42 catches in 10 games. Both almost certainly would have topped 50 receptions if healthy. The same goes for Minnesota's T.J. Hockenson, who was returning from an ACL injury, suffered late last season. Hockenson took a couple of games to ramp up his production, but finished with 41 receptions in 10 games.

In fact, The only outliers in terms of tight end among playoff teams are Denver, which had Adam Trautman lead its tight ends with 22 receptions, and the Rams, who got 30 catches for Colby Parkinson.

Steelers tight ends produced 96 catches for 933 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2024.

"Personally speaking, if you've got a tight end that can do a lot in the pass game, get open versus man against linebackers and safeties, those guys aren't supposed to guard you," Freiermuth said. "If you're winning those matchups and finding zones for it to be friendly to the quarterback, it takes a lot of stress off the quarterback."

• When the Steelers faced the Ravens in Week 11, cornerback Joey Porter Jr. shadowed Baltimore wide receiver Rashod Bateman throughout the game.

Bateman, Baltimore's deep threat in the passing game, had two catches for 30 yards on five targets in the 18-16 Steelers victory.

That's nothing new for Porter. In nine games this season, the Steelers utilized Porter in shadow coverage on an opposing wide receiver for at least two-thirds of their snaps.

In those situations, Porter allowed 14 receptions on 24 targets for 221 yards, breaking up three passes.

With both cornerback Donte Jackson and safety DeShon Elliott out in the rematch, the Steelers did not have Porter shadow anyone in coverage in the second meeting and he left the game early with an injury in a 34-17 loss.

With Flowers likely out for Saturday's game, it's not unreasonable to think the Steelers might have Porter shadow Bateman again in this game. Then again, they could simply choose to play sides and concentrate on slowing Balitmore's tight ends and running game.

Dale Lolley is co-host of "SNR Drive" on Steelers Nation Radio. Subscribe to the podcast here: Apple Podcast | iHeart Podcast Pittonline@iheartmedia.com

Bateman averaged 16.8 yards per catch this season and had nine touchdown receptions, second only to tight end Mark Andrews in Baltimore's passing game. Flowers was the only Baltimore player to top 1,000 receiving yards this season, with 756.

The wide receivers on Baltimore's roster not named Flowers and Bateman – Nelson Agholor, Tylan Wallace, Devontez Walker and Steven Sims – also caught just 26 passes for the Ravens this season.

If the Steelers utilize Porter on Bateman also could allow the Steelers to utilize safeties Minkah Fitzpatrick and Elliott on Baltimore's tight ends, Andrews and Isaiah Likely, more often.

"I think (Elliott) is (important), because he's a big body. He matches up well, he plays physical, and as you know, those guys are good," said Steelers defensive coordinator Teryl Austin. "They're going to win some matchups, and he's going to win some matchups, and the goal is to make sure that at the end of the day that we're having a good day, and we come out on top. That means he's probably won his fair share of matchups. And that's really what we're looking for. We want to make sure we have the right matchups in place and give guys an opportunity to compete and make plays."

However the Steelers decide to deploy their defensive backs, they should have more answers for the problems the Ravens provide – especially with Flowers sidelined.

• The Steelers were one of 15 teams in the league to win at least 10 games this season.

That is the most in NFL history, topping the record of 13 that had been accomplished five times previously. That means that 46.9 percent of the NFL's teams finished with at least 10 wins, edging out the 42.9 percent (12 of 28) that had been set in both 1986 and 1991.

This season also marks the first time since the 2012 season that every team that earned a spot in the postseason did so with at least 10 wins and the first time that has happened since the league went to 14 teams in the playoffs in 2021.

That also means a 10-win team, in this case the Seahawks, did not make the postseason.

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